President Donald Trump to sign executive order indicating intention to rip up Nafta and TPP keeping his promise to the American people that elected him, which will bring back jobs and companies to America. Trump has vowed to renegotiate the terms of two of America’s biggest trade deals and it is refreshing to see a President carry out his promises.
Donald Trump is expected to sign an executive order later on Monday that signals his intention to renegotiate the terms of Nafta, a free trade agreement between the US, Mexico and Canada, it has been reported.
Citing an unidentified White House official, NBC News said the new President was also expected to sign an order confirming his intention to pull the US out of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), a deal among 11 Pacific Rim countries that has yet to be ratified by Congress.
Withdrawing from the TPP would be Mr Trump’s first executive action as he got to work on Monday morning, two sources close to the White House told CNN.
The President said in late November that the TPP was “a potential disaster for our country”. In its place, he said he would “negotiate fair bilateral trade deals that bring jobs and industry back”.
Mr Trump’s official schedule includes the signing of executive orders in the Oval Office at 10.30am local time (3.30pm GMT).
On Sunday, Mr Trump revealed that he had set up meetings with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto.
“We’re going to start some negotiations having to do with Nafta,” he said of his meeting with Mr Pena Nieto. Mr Trump said he will also discuss immigration and security at the border with Mexico. He has previously promised to build a wall along the length of the southern border and that Mexico will pay for it.
His chief of staff, Reince Priebus, said on “Fox News Sunday” the President would spend his first full week in office undoing some of former President Barack Obama’s agenda, including signing executive orders on immigration and trade.
Mr Trump has pledged to scrap trade deals such as the pending Asia-Pacific agreement, as well as overturning Mr Obama’s executive order deferring deportations for 700,000 people who were brought into the country illegally as minors.
The Nafta deal allows multinational companies to produce everything from planes to household gadgets using labour from multiple countries. It was drafted by previous Republican administrations including President George H W Bush and signed through by President Bill Clinton in 1994.
During the TV debates ahead of the 2016 election, Mr Trump called Nafta “the worst trade deal maybe ever signed anywhere, but certainly ever signed in this country”.
Even supporters of keeping Nafta admit that it is in need of an upgrade. They would have it include elements of the TPP – somewhat ironically – such as rules covering digital trade and the movement of electronic business data.
But few would go so far, as Mr Trump has, as suggesting the deal should be scrapped altogether. The National Association of Manufacturers calls the deal “a boost to US competitiveness”.
And in an interview with Fox News last year, the president of the US Chamber of Commerce, Tom Donohue, said: “You want to get rid of Nafta? Nafta is 14 million jobs in the United States.”
Whatever you think of Trump, he’s right on TPP and TTIP if you knew what TPP and TTIP stood for, you’d pull out too.
Many people do not understand what these trade agreements mean so let me spell it out. They promote trade liberalisation. This essentially means opening up public services to corporate takeover and limiting our ability to control banks.
In a YouTube video of policy proposals released this week, President-elect Trump announced that the US would withdraw from the Trans-Pacific Partnership. This trade agreement encompasses the major economies of the Pacific Rim with the notable exclusion of China. Other policies included a hodge-podge of climate change denial through promoting fracking and coal, deregulation, infrastructure spending and measures against corporate lobbying.
There are mounting concerns about xenophobia following Trump’s victory. The appointments of Breitbart’s Stephen Bannon as chief strategist, the anti-immigration Jeff Sessions as attorney general, Mike Pompeo as CIA director (in favour of bulk data collection) and General Michael Flynn as national security advisor would appear to reinforce Trump’s targeting of Hispanics, Muslims and other minorities.
Yet amid all this soul-searching, the key question liberals should be asking is why authoritarian nationalism is spreading across the West. The answer is relatively simple. Neoliberal globalisation has left millions behind both in the advanced economies and the global south over several decades. Wealth has been siphoned to the top. The economic fallout post-2008 has seen inequality widening, with many falling into poverty. The effects of austerity on southern Europe are a social catastrophe.
The liberal and social democratic parties previously representing working-class constituents have abandoned them and are captured by corporate power. The Democratic party under the Clintons and Obama as well as New Labour under Blair and Brown were emblematic of this process. The result has seen millions of voters turn to candidates positioning themselves as anti-establishment. Hence the success of the SNP, Ukip, Brexit and now Trump.
Free trade agreements are at the heart of the matter. Negotiations have taken place behind closed doors with corporate lobbyists. Transparency has been minimal. It is exactly this kind of undemocratic, technocratic managerialism which is prompting a backlash against elites. It is the same technocratic managerialism that saw the troika of the European Central Bank, the European Commission and the IMF impose unrelenting misery on southern Europe, rendering Greece as expendable. The troika even issued memoranda to be rubber-stamped by national parliaments.
Both the EU-US trade agreement, or Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), and the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) are sold as reducing barriers to trade through harmonisation of regulations thus increasing growth. But harmonisation effectively means a race to the bottom with the lowest common denominator regulations being adopted. In fact, there are not many barriers left and the question is more of how growth is distributed. It is now clear that trickle-down economics is a myth.
Trump has stated that he is against TTIP and TPP, and may even reverse the North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta). Many people do not understand what these trade agreements mean so let me spell it out. They promote trade liberalisation. This essentially means opening up public services to corporate takeover. They would likely make public or state ownership difficult. They would restrict the financial tools available to countries to regulate banks. They would also limit their ability to impose capital controls.
They would lock in privatisation through Investor-State Dispute Settlement clauses. This means that multinational corporations could sue governments if they took steps that harm their profits or even the future expectation of profits. This would take place through private, secretive courts rather than the normal law courts. In fact, precedents have already seen tens of countries sued by corporations for measures taken in the public interest.
The NHS is a good example. It is currently being privatised, paving the way for a private health insurance system. TTIP would mean that if a future UK government took steps to reverse this then they might well be sued. In effect, this acts as a deterrent against government actions harming corporate interests. This would apply not just to healthcare but to all public services, from education and broadcasters such as the BBC to public transport and utilities.
These trade agreements would also enforce enclosure of the commons through intellectual property rights. So drug patents would be extended to combat cheaper generic medicines. Patenting of the human genome would be enforced. Farmers might have to buy seeds from corporations. I don’t know about you, but that sounds like a dystopian world to me.
Neoliberal globalisation is not some irresistible force of nature. Economic protectionism may not exactly be progressive but the current status quo of wage stagnation and falling living standards is unsustainable. If steps are not taken to remedy the damaging effects of neoliberalism then the backlash will only intensify, likely leading to rising nationalism, fascism and global conflict.